Every published pick. Losses included.
The record counts picks we publish, starting Oct 27, 2026. Counts every pick we publish, graded wins and losses alike, from the day it is published (Premium picks join the day after release). Picks logged after tip-off are not included. Nothing is filtered by result, and new results show up automatically. 1-unit flat-stake results at the logged DraftKings price, not anyone's actual winnings.
Cumulative units
Running total in settle order, one point per graded pick. Every loss is in it.
Day by day
Grouped by game date (PT). Every graded pick, losses included.
How we tag picks
Tags come straight from the ledger. They describe how confident the model is. None of them is a promise.
Likely to hit, not guaranteed
Our highest-probability tier: alt-line overs priced from about −250 to −150. Secure picks still lose sometimes, and every loss is graded here.
2-leg parlays from Secure legs
When we post a parlay, it's two Secure legs, one leg per game, so a single game can't sink both legs. Parlays need both legs to hit, so they miss more often than singles. They're graded as one pick. The day's free pick is one Secure single.
Older tags and timing
"Lock" was the tag we used in the first week, and those rows keep that label. They aren't relabeled as Secure. Every pick is time-stamped when it's logged. In-game picks are tagged LIVE and count. A pick logged after the game started that isn't an in-game pick is left out of the record and every list, win or lose.
Pick history
Every graded pick in the record of published picks (since Oct 27), newest first, losses included. LIVE marks an in-game pick. Click a pick to open its page (game log, model estimate, card). Click a header to sort.
| Game date | Sport | Pick | Category | Odds | Stake | Result | Units |
|---|
What if you bet with us?
Choose a unit size and a window. The math covers every graded pick in the record of published picks in that window, losses included. 1-unit flat-stake results scaled to your unit, not anyone's actual winnings.
Get the card before it's graded.
The daily card drops in our Discord first, with line moves and a post-game breakdown of every miss. 21+ only. Community picks are opinions, not advice.